The years 2026 and 2027 will bring significant price increases for lovers of alcoholic beverages and for smokers. Higher excise duty rates, combined with rising production costs, will translate into further growth in retail prices. The changes to excise duty rates effective from 2026 are much more aggressive than the previous gradual increase schedule and are already causing tension within the alcohol and tobacco industries as well as among consumers.
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In the years 2023–2026, excise duty on ethyl alcohol was supposed to increase annually by 5% – such a schedule was introduced in Article 165a of the Excise Duty Act.
However, the Ministry of Finance proposed an update of the excise duty rates for all categories of alcoholic beverages. The aim is to reduce alcohol consumption and to lower the socio-economic costs resulting from excessive alcohol use.
According to WHO data, alcohol consumption and tobacco smoking are among the most dangerous risk factors for health. The government website indicates that the social costs of alcohol consumption in Poland amount to PLN 93.3 billion annually (healthcare costs, social assistance, insurance, and law enforcement).
From 1 January 2026:
+15% excise duty on:
From 1 January 2027:
A 15% increase in excise duty on ethyl alcohol means an increase in the price of a 40% vodka bottle by approx. PLN 4 (Ministry of Finance estimates).
Wine 12% (0.75 l bottle)
A 15% increase in excise duty on wine may raise the price of a standard bottle by approx. PLN 1.20–1.50.
Beer 5% (0.5 l)
Due to excise duty being calculated based on degrees Plato, a 15% excise duty increase means a price increase of approx. PLN 0.20–0.35 per bottle of beer.
According to data from the Ministry of Finance and rates applicable in 2025:
Increases in the tobacco and novel products sector are equally significant.
| Products | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cigarettes | PLN 345 / 1,000 pcs. | PLN 414 / 1,000 pcs. | PLN 476.10 / 1,000 pcs. |
| E-cigarette liquid | PLN 0.96 / ml | PLN 1.44 / ml | PLN 1.80 / ml |
| Smoking tobacco | PLN 260.14 / kg | PLN 338.18 / kg | PLN 412.58 / kg |
| Cigars and cigarillos | PLN 655 / kg | PLN 786 / kg | PLN 903.90 / kg |
Based on Ministry of Finance estimates published, among others, by prawo.pl:
By how much will excise duty on alcohol increase in 2026?
From 1 January 2026, excise duty on alcohol will increase by 15%, and from 1 January 2027 by a further 10%.
How much more expensive will alcohol become after the excise duty increase?
According to Ministry of Finance estimates, the price of a 40% vodka bottle will increase by approx. PLN 4.
By how much will cigarette and tobacco product prices increase?
Forecast year-on-year increases:
What will the excise duty rates on tobacco products be in 2026?
Among others: cigarettes PLN 414/1,000 pcs., tobacco PLN 338.18/kg, liquids PLN 1.44/ml, cigars PLN 786/kg.
Why is excise duty being increased?
The Ministry of Finance aims to reduce alcohol and tobacco consumption and to lower social costs, which according to the government amount to PLN 93.3 billion annually.
Author:
Agnieszka Bojar, Manager, MDDP Outsourcing